Why The Islamic State Can Never Win
Col Mike walker, USMC (retired)
The Islamic State will never win because is aims are fatally flawed. Why? The Islamic State’s strategy is based on the concept that there are no noncombatants in war.
This is an even more extreme and equally futile version of the radical nationalist socialist pathology that gripped tens of millions of people in the twentieth century and it will end just as badly for the Islamic State if not more so.
Making a blood enemy of every living being of a society you are opposed to must devolve into genocide. Equally true, both sides will realize that endstate, forcing an existential crisis.
The Islamic State, like the earlier nationalist socialists, wrongly define the struggle as a contest of wills – a test of faith – in which they are supremely confident in a moral-ethical superiority that must end in their victory.
The truth is that the Islamic State is composed of little more than some surreal “replicant” idiots of their 20th century radical socialist predecessors. Viewed through the lens of their paranoiac misogyny, they are literally dead men walking.
The doom of the Islamic State lies in misunderstanding tipping points. It believes that terrorism will lead to paralysis tipping point and that paralysis on the part of the enemy will allow them to achieve victory.
The truth is that the more successful the terrorists are then the more they close in on an unwanted antithetical tipping point, just as a mathematical function inexorably converges on its limit. If it ever reaches that extreme, the victims will realize that they are truly in a “kill or be killed” world and the Islamic State is a done deal – game over – end of days.
The erstwhile victims, possessing vastly superior numbers, resources and willpower will eradicate the Islamic State just like a Venus flytrap erases every trace of the captured spider.
