Tuesday, July 26, 2022

Recession? No Problem. Just Pretend It Doesn’t Exist

Recession? No Problem. Just Pretend It Doesn’t Exist

David Harsanyi, The Federalist 

They think you’re stupid.

In 2009, mired in the slowest recovery in American history, the Obama administration decided to dispense with antiquated economic metrics and cook up a new, non-falsifiable number that would better accommodate the president. And so, we were introduced to jobs, “saved and created.”

Every month, an administration economist, under the veneer of expertise, would trot out this fake statistic — one that had never been used by the Labor Department or Treasury Department or the Bureau of Labor Statistics or anyone else. And every month, the political media would dutifully report on it without much skepticism. Obama claimed his recovery plan would “save or create three to four million jobs over the next two years.” But once the “saved” part of “created and saved” was removed, we found out the economy had lost 2 million jobs, with unemployment reaching 9.4 percent. All of it was transparently stupid, yet it was flat-out genius compared to the messaging of the Biden administration.

Get ready for a very dumb debate over the word “recession.” It’s true, there’s no scientific definition for a recession because economics isn’t an exact science. Yet for decades, the media, government, economic textbooks, and dictionaries have all, more or less, defined a recession as two consecutive quarters of negative growth. But now, with the prospects of this week’s GDP report being in the red — the Atlanta Fed estimates GDP will contract 1.6 percent — the administration and media are engaged in a pedantic discussion over the real meaning of a recession.

“What is a recession?” the White House Council of Economic Advisers ponders. “While some maintain that two consecutive quarters of falling real GDP constitute a recession, that is neither the official definition nor the way economists evaluate the state of the business cycle.”

It isn’t? It is true that on rare occasions, as the National Bureau of Economic Research did in the early ’90s, experts will declare a recession when there are non-consecutive quarters of negative growth, but not once has the media covered two consecutive quarters of contraction as anything but a recession.

Every fresh report of Keynesian economic failure during the Obama years was treated as “unexpected.” When the same policy fails during the Biden years, the media depicts our sputtering economy as weird and unpredictable. Is it? This week, we’re going to see a new consumer confidence number. It will likely be bad. Interest rates will likely rise, as will inflation. And perhaps the best predictor of a recession, the yield curve inversion, is already with us. It’s not that weird.

The administration argues we aren’t technically in a recession because of the low unemployment rate. But simply because the Biden administration says we’re experiencing historic job growth doesn’t mean we have to play along. Indeed, the private sector hasn’t even regained the jobs lost due to the “man-made” downturn that was caused by needless government-compelled Covid shutdowns. The Chamber of Commerce says 3.25 million fewer Americans are working today than were in February of 2020. (In 2019, presidential candidate Joe Biden argued the economy was “teetering on recession” when there were zero quarters of negative growth and the unemployment rate was at 3.7 percent. Today it’s at 3.6 percent.)

Biden has been assaulting voters with these kinds of juvenile economic talking points from the start. It was a year ago that the president claimed “nobody” was “suggesting there’s unchecked inflation on the way — no serious economist,” even as many were. Biden’s National Economic Council deputy director Brian Deese had said early that inflation was “actually a good sign” for the economy. Then, the administration and its allies argued that the best method to alleviate inflation would be to shove through a $5.5 trillion welfare state expansion bill.

The president also claimed Build Back Better actually cost “zero.” This is a president who demands that “companies running gas stations and setting prices at the pump” bring down the price, as if the local 7/11 attendant can control the price of a fungible commodity. Then again, Mayor Pete just recommends everyone go out and buy an electric car.


Presidents don’t create or save jobs. They do, however, propel inflation when sending checks into an overheated economy, creating energy scarcity, and passing needless infrastructure bills (with the help of Republicans). So it’s not surprising that the same people who tried to redefine inflation are now, conveniently, treating a “recession” as an unknowable concept.


David Harsanyi is a senior editor at The Federalist. Harsanyi is a nationally syndicated columnist and author of five books—the most recent, Eurotrash: Why America Must Reject the Failed Ideas of a Dying Continent. His work has appeared in National Review, the Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Reason, New York Post, and numerous other publications. Follow him on Twitter, @davidharsanyi.

Thursday, July 21, 2022

The Left Should Be Happy with Biden

 

The Left Should Be Happy with Biden

Since when has changing an inept messenger ever changed a disastrous message?

Victor Davis Hanson, American Greatness

The Left should be ecstatic that Joe Biden has given them everything they wanted. 

The Left likes inflation. It reduces the value of old money by printing lots of new money. Those richer who have it, lose the value of their money; those poorer who don’t have any money, suddenly do. 

When combined with low interest rates, inflation roars even louder. Not since Jimmy Carter has a Democrat been so insistent on inflating the money supply. 

For decades, the Left has amplified former Energy Secretary Steven Chu’s 2008 dream that the government must spike fuel costs up to European levels. That was seen as the best way to force unsophisticated Americans to quit burning gas and transition to renewable energy. Biden took that sermon seriously. 

He canceled federal energy leases. He shut down ANWR. He canceled pipelines and warned the oil industry its days were numbered. Biden has done more than any other Democrat to ensure fossil fuels were unaffordable, forcing America’s supposedly unthinking consumers to drive less or consider ditching their gas-engine cars altogether. 

The hard American Left always wanted unlimited illegal immigration. Biden agreed and destroyed the southern border as we knew it. 

The result is that in less than two years, nearly 3 million illegal aliens have surged into the United States. Nearly all of them arrived unvaccinated, untested, and unaudited at a time of a COVID pandemic. 

Biden worries little that record numbers of Americans are dying from drugs that now pour across the border. Cartels became richer and more powerful than ever under his watch, while child traffickers were freed from worries. 

Biden did more than any prior Democrat to ensure massive illegal immigration as part of the leftist dream of flipping red states blue by changing the demography. 

The Left rails about imperialism, neo-colonialism, and military expenditure. Joe Biden without warning simply yanked all troops from Afghanistan. He abandoned a $1 billion new embassy, a $300 million refitted U.S. air base, and $80 billion worth of sophisticated arms and equipment. 

In other words, Biden did more than any other prior Democrat to ensure the United States was humbled abroad, and its expeditionary forces taught a lesson about the evils of foreign interventions. 

The Left fetishizes race. It enshrined the idea of “good” racial discrimination: to stop racial bias, one must be racially biased. 

Biden was the first president to promise in advance that his vice-presidential running mate had to be both black and female. For his cabinet picks, Biden ignored most criteria of prior experience or specific expertise, but instead ensured that his administration was “diverse.” 

No prior Democratic president has been so beholden to identity politics or so consistently used de facto racial, gender, and sexual identity quotas in his presidential appointees. 

The Left for years has railed about the criminal justice system. It believes punishment does not really deter crime, which is instead a result of racism and a toxic capitalist system. 

Biden agrees. Federal attorneys mimic the so-called George Soros city and county prosecutors who enforce the law largely according to ideological directives. 

No prior president has managed to weaponize the Pentagon, the FBI, or the CIA in ways that have transitioned them from traditional institutions to woke avatars of social revolution. 

No prior Democratic president has so attacked conservatives, a strict-constructionist Supreme Court, and the Republican Party. 

So why is the Left so eager to oust Biden or at least ensure that he does not dare seek reelection in 2024? 

Strangely, leftists do not grasp that Biden’s current record and unpopularity are due not just to his unmistakable cognitive decline. The problem is not just his often-toxic personality, or his creepy habits of trying to shake the hands of invisible people or violating the private space of younger women. 

Instead, the Biden Administration has become an utter failure because voters detest its agendas. They recoil at $5-a-gallon gas. They feel their lives are being destroyed by 9.1 percent annual inflation and supply chain shortages. 

The public is tired of near record annual increases in murders and other violent crime. 

They are sickened by the tsunami of dangerous drugs pouring across the border and unvetted millions of foreign nationals entering their country without their permission. 

They are irate that the Biden cabinet never responds to these disasters. Instead, the administration denies the crises even exist. 

Or it blames its own self-created messes on the Russians, or Trump, or their own Democratic senators who balked at printing more trillions of dollars. 

Now the Left is looking for a younger, more charismatic, and more glib replacement president to advance their stale unpopular agendas. 

But since when has changing an inept messenger ever changed a disastrous message?  


Victor Davis Hanson is a distinguished fellow of the Center for American Greatness and the Martin and Illie Anderson Senior Fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution. He is an American military historian, columnist, a former classics professor, and scholar of ancient warfare. He has been a visiting professor at Hillsdale College since 2004. Hanson was awarded the National Humanities Medal in 2007 by President George W. Bush. Hanson is also a farmer (growing raisin grapes on a family farm in Selma, California) and a critic of social trends related to farming and agrarianism. He is the author most recently of The Second World Wars: How the First Global Conflict Was Fought and Won, The Case for Trump and the newly released The Dying Citizen.


Sunday, July 17, 2022

Republicans Can Reform Education

 


Republicans Can Reform Education

Betsy DeVos Reveals The Most Important Things Republicans Can Do To Reform Education

Reagan Reese, Daily Caller 

Former Secretary of Education Betsy DeVos believes Republicans need to focus on five points of reform for the American education system, with the most important being educational freedom.

“The last two years, children have been held hostage to this cause or these multiple causes and a system that too many of them cannot escape,” DeVos told the Daily Caller News Foundation.

DeVos believes there is still a pathway for Republicans to eliminate the Department of Education and they should take it.

The Biden administration’s damage to public education can be undone by Republicans with a few important reforms, former Secretary of Education Betsy DeVos told the Daily Caller News Foundation.

DeVos has a five-point plan to reform education that Republicans should campaign on now and implement when they retake Congress, she told the DCNF. The five points include education freedom, eliminating the Department of Education (DOE), supporting multiple pathways to post-K-12 education, federal student aid reform, and restoring Title IX.

DeVos told the DCNF that educational freedom, or the ability of parents to send their children to a wider array of schools, is the most important reform. A free education environment will allow students to receive funds to transfer from public schools to different education options such as charter schools, private schools and homeschooling, DeVos explained.

“The last two years, children have been held hostage to this cause or these multiple causes and a system that too many of them cannot escape,” DeVos told the DCNF. “The solution to that is to have policies that will actually allow the resources to follow the family, to follow the child, to wherever their family decides they’re going to learn best.”

While the Trump administration failed to significantly shrink the DOE, DeVos believes it is still possible and necessary for Republicans to do, she told the DCNF. (RELATED: EXCLUSIVE: Trump’s Education Secretary Has A Plan To Stop Woke Brainwashing In Schools)

“Shrink or do away with the Department of Education. I think that Republicans have talked about it for many, many years, but I think it actually would be feasible to do, practically speaking, by blocking grants to the states, which is what we proposed, in the last two years of our budget and presented to Congress to debate. There was some interest among Republicans but not enough to get a lot of airspeed,” DeVos told the DCNF. “Just watching how the system has performed or not performed the last two years, I think makes this argument of shrinking the department to be much more potent.”

As college enrollment is down nationwide, DeVos believes apprenticeship programs need to be expanded because it benefits young people to learn through experience, she said to the DCNF.

“We need to be supporting multiple pathways post-K-12 years, including expanding apprenticeship opportunities. The Trump administration established an industry that recognized apprenticeship programs, which then the Biden administration immediately did away with because it didn’t require participants to be union members,” DeVos told the DCNF.

Reversing Biden’s Title IX changes is another important issue for DeVos because of the way Biden’s plans will fundamentally change women’s sports, she told the DCNF. The Biden administration’s proposed extension of Title IX could make public schools let biological men participate in women’s sports and share the same locker rooms as the female athletes.

DeVos elaborates on her plan to save the American education system, as well her time in the Trump administration, in her book titled “Hostages No More,” which was released on June 21.

“The American creativity, ingenuity and entrepreneurship is going to more than rise to the occasion when families are empowered with those resources to make those decisions and choices for their kids,” DeVos told the DCNF.

Saturday, July 16, 2022

Iran’s ‘death corridor’ is open for business

 


Iran’s ‘death corridor’ is open for business

Ben Cohen, Jewish News Syndicate 

The trial of former Iranian regime operative Hamid Nouri provides a harrowing glimpse into the systemic abuse of human rights in the Islamic Republic.

Iran thrust its way back into the news cycle last week as U.S. President Joe Biden embarked on a four-day tour of the Middle East beginning in Israel, but arguably, the most significant event to impact the Islamic Republic’s international reputation took place in faraway Stockholm.

On July 7, a Swedish court sentenced a former Iranian regime operative, Hamid Nouri, to life in prison for his role in the massacres of political prisoners in 1988 at the close of the eight-year war between Iran and neighboring Iraq. Acting on a tip-off from the relative of one of his victims, Swedish police arrested Nouri when he flew into Stockholm in November 2019, retaining him in custody ever since. Last week’s court sentence marked the first time that an Iranian official had “been held accountable for mass atrocities,” according to Hadi Ghaemi, executive director of the New York-based Center for Human Rights in Iran (CHRI).

Nouri’s trial provided a harrowing glimpse into the systemic abuse of human rights in the Islamic Republic. A total of 58 witnesses testified against him, recalling the executions of some 5,000 left-wing and secular nationalist political prisoners. A member of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Nouri served as a jail guard at Evin Prison in Tehran and at Gohardasht prison outside the Iranian city of Karaj, where he aided the so-called “Death Commission” led by three judges—one of whom, Ebrahim Raisi, is now the president of Iran. Survivors of the massacres—many of them from the Mujahedin-e-Khalq (MeK) guerilla organization—told macabre tales of torture and mass hangings. Nouri specifically was identified as one of the officials who manned the “death corridor,” the passageway that condemned prisoners walked down on their way to the execution chamber.

Nouri insisted throughout his trial that the charges against him were false, but the presiding Judge Tomas Zander disagreed, deeming that “nothing substantial has emerged which gives the court reason to question the investigation’s reliability and robustness” as he delivered the verdict. Meanwhile, the Iranian regime reacted immediately, condemning what it depicted as a politically motivated assault on the Islamic Republic’s judicial system. But such gripes mean little when the lasting impression left by the trial is that the same regime responsible for the 1988 atrocities remains in power today.

Indeed, the “death corridor” overseen by Nouri has now become a regional enterprise, as Iran continues to back its terror proxies in the Middle East, variously plunging Lebanon into a humanitarian crisis, preventing the emergence of an independent Kurdish state in northern Iraq, fueling the vicious civil war in Yemen and zealously opposing any moves towards a peace agreement between Israel and the Palestinians that would secure the Jewish state’s sovereign existence. Simply put, death is the primary currency of the Islamic Republic.

Iran has also ventured further afield into Europe and Latin America, where it has cultivated strong ties with Venezuela and other left-wing authoritarian governments. Additionally, Iran has always enjoyed a productive relationship with Russia with a significant military component—one that could now impact the war in Ukraine. As Biden prepared his departure for the Middle East, a White House press briefing disclosed that Iran was planning to provide Russian President Vladimir Putin with “hundreds” of unmanned aerial vehicles, including weapons-capable drones, for use in Moscow’s aggression against its southern neighbor. As National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan observed, Iran had already provided the same weaponry to its Houthi allies in Yemen.

Given its serial offenses across nearly half a century, Iran can hardly be looked upon as a reliable partner in negotiations. When it does parley, as was the case with the 2015 nuclear deal, its representatives have proven themselves adept at extracting the concessions that allow them to append their signatures. With the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA, the technical name for the 2015 deal) intact, Iran can look to a “sunset clause” that would enable it to freely develop a nuclear weapon early on in the next decade. Without it—as has effectively been the case since the United States withdrew from the JCPOA in 2018—the regime has continued with its clandestine nuclear activities and now possesses 95 pounds of uranium enriched to 60 percent purity, according to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA.) That’s enough fissile material for a single nuclear weapon, according to experts, though the delivery system is still being worked on.

Biden has been decidedly more circumspect than was the Obama administration, which negotiated the original deal, when it comes to Iranian intentions. Yet the White House still holds out hope for a diplomatic resolution of the tensions with Iran, even if, in the same breath, it concedes that there is little possibility of that outcome. Journalists who accompanied the president to Israel engaged in forensic comparisons of Biden’s statements with those of Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid on the subject of Iran’s ongoing nuclear development. Lapid was crystal clear that continued development would be dealt with through force, while Biden, in the words of The New York Times, “stuck to talking about blocking Iran from obtaining a weapon—not a program that might be intended to develop one.”

Biden has used a more general formula with Iran that was also articulated by Obama; namely, that “all options” remain on the table when it comes to Iran’s nuclear ambitions. Yet for the time being, what’s clearest of all is that the Biden White House is happy to keep an air of vagueness over its Iran policy. And it is likely betting that Israel’s desire to use Biden’s good offices to secure a formal peace agreement with Saudi Arabia, alongside the peace deals already reached with the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco, will temper any protests from Jerusalem about U.S. Iran policy.

The result is that, for all the rhetorical heat radiated towards Iran during Biden’s Middle East tour, its “death corridor” remains open for business. Since the Islamic Revolution of 1980, successive Western governments have kicked the can down the street in the hope that future administrations will succeed where they failed in reining in Tehran. Now that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has shown us where such appeasement can lead, will the West make the same mistake again? So far, the American answer seems to be: “maybe.”


Ben Cohen is a New York City-based journalist and author who writes a weekly column on Jewish and international affairs for JNS.

Tuesday, July 12, 2022

George Soros' takeover of Hispanic radio


George Soros-funded liberal takeover of Hispanic radio stations ‘reeks of desperation,’ critics say

Soros-backed effort alarms staffers at south Florida conservative station Radio Mambi

Brian Flood, Fox News 

A group partially bankrolled by liberal billionaire George Soros is set to purchase 18 Hispanic radio stations across 10 different markets but conservatives are fighting back, calling it a move that "reeks of desperation" to control Latino voters who have been ditching the Democratic Party. 

Steve Cortes, who was a member of former-President Trump campaign’s Hispanic Advisory Council, believes Soros’ latest move is a clear sign liberals "rightly fret about the incredible gains among Hispanics for the America First movement" that has caused many of them to ditch the Democratic Party

"The radicalism of the Democrats today has effectively left formerly Dem-leaning Latinos as political orphans," Cortes told Fox News Digital. "Hispanics increasingly rally to the America First combination of cultural conservatism plus patriotic populist economics." 

The formation of the Latino Media Network, a new network set to be made up of the 18 Hispanic radio stations, was announced last week, and was partially financed by Lakestar Finance, an investment group affiliated with Soros Fund Management. The deal is pending regulatory approval but is expected to close later this year, giving new management plenty of time to make changes ahead of the 2024 election. 

Jess Morales Rocketto, a former Hillary for America and AFL-CIO employee, and Stephanie Valencia, a former White House staffer during the Obama administration, are heading the venture, and say their purchase across the multitude of media markets will give them "access to one-third of the Hispanic population" within the U.S, according to an interview conducted by Axios.

The investment project comes as concern from Democrats continues to grow over the party's loss in support from large swaths of Hispanic voters. Media Research Center Latino director Jorge Bonilla believes the purchase of these stations by the Soros-funded Latino Media Network "reeks of desperation" ahead of the 2024 presidential election.  

"The left, increasingly feeling entitled to Hispanics yet unable to persuade them, openly seeks to control their access to information. This is the true aim of the ‘Spanish-language disinformation’ campaign of the past few years. Censorship and control," Bonilla told Fox News Digital. 

Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., tweeted, "A front group led by left wing operatives & financed by Soros linked money is buying up Spanish language radio stations because they still don’t realize that the reason why they are bleeding Hispanic support isn’t ‘misinformation’ it’s their socialism."

Religious liberty, parental rights, abortion, belief in the free-market system and comprehensive immigration reform that favors migrants who enter the country legally are thought to be among the topics that have made many Hispanics ditch Democrats. 

The mainstream media has been sounding the alarm about Hispanic voters jumping ship for years, and recent headlines include FiveThirtyEight’s "Why The GOP Might Not Turn Off Conservative Latino Voters" and "Have Latinos Really Moved Toward The Republican Party?,"  Washington Post’s "Republican House Latinos mobilize to bolster ranks and influence" and CBS News’ "Hispanic voters’ support for GOP is increasing." 

Former President Trump made significant gains with Latino voters in the 2020 election compared to 2016, aiding his comfortable victory in Florida. MSNBC aired a "Field Report" earlier this month on why they moved to the right, in part blaming "disinformation" and paranoia about communism and socialism.

Bonilla previously called it a "panic move" by Soros and noted WAQI 710 in Miami’s "iconic anti-communist" Radio Mambí was among the stations involved in the deal when covering the news for MRC Latino. 

"Mambí has long been a thorn on the side of an entitled left that demands absolute control over what media Hispanics consume," Bonilla wrote. "With this move, the left doesn’t just establish a beachhead -- it also seizes the opposition’s crown jewel. Give the outbursts of glee among Hispanic progressives on social media when the deal was announced, it is hard to imagine Mambí not getting shut down or ‘restructured’ once the deal closes." 

Bonilla isn’t the only person concerned about Mambí, as there is an internal mutiny brewing at the station, according to an insider. 

"They hate us, but I will never receive $1 from George Soros, so my days are coming to an end," a current Radio Mambí staffer told Fox News Digital. 

The staffer said colleagues are concerned that conservative voices will be silenced and advertisers will flee as a result – if the station still exists following the completion of the deal. 

"They are doing this to silence us… it’s a dangerous situation," they added. "Honesty, I’m scared. This is absolutely crazy." 

Despite the concern, Bonilla feels "'Radio Soros' can’t fill shelves with baby formula, bring gas prices down to $2/gallon, fix the border crisis or reduce crime in the cities," so the move might not be a successful one for Democrats. 

"This is a significant development inasmuch as it lays a marker down, but not one that is permanently transformative or even a game-changer, given the left's current existing near-monopoly on Spanish-language media," Bonilla continued. "One does not imagine that this venture will successfully wokeshame folks along the Rio Grande Valley into changing their existing voting patterns, or that the potential shuttering of the Cuban-American flagship radio station will go unanswered." 

Republican Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis already hit back by purchasing an ad buy on two Miami radio stations being acquired by the new left-wing radio network.

"The Soros-funded radical Left is running a scheme to manipulate local media in Florida to push their Marxist agenda on voters," DeSantis tweeted. "In Florida, we reject the professional Left & their attempt to infiltrate our state & will always stand for truth and freedom."

The new DeSantis ad, which will air on Radio Mambí and WQBA-AM, warns voters about the media purchase and touts his stance against "leftist disinformation" as he continues the "fight against socialism in America."

The DeSantis campaign told Fox News Digital "Governor Ron DeSantis is taking [on] Soros on his own turf with a Spanish language ad buy on the Soros network, serving as a PSA to Hispanic Floridians to warn of the pro-socialism, radical agenda behind The Latino Media Network


Fox News’ Brandon Gillespie contributed to this report. 

Brian Flood is a media reporter for Fox News Digital. Story tips can be sent to brian.flood@fox.com and on Twitter: @briansflood. 

Monday, July 11, 2022

Judicial Watch Sues New York City


Judicial Watch Sues New York City

Judicial Watch Sues after New York City Fails to Clean Voter Rolls for Years

Tom Fitton, Judicial Watch

(Washington, DC) – Judicial Watch announced today that it filed a federal lawsuit against New York State and New York City election officials failing to remove potentially hundreds of thousands of ineligible voters from New York City voter registration rolls as federal law requires. The lawsuit, filed under the National Voter Registration Act (NVRA), details how New York City removed only 22 names under the federal law over six years (Judicial Watch v Valentine et al. (No.1:22-cv-03952)).

The NVRA requires states to “conduct a general program that makes a reasonable effort to remove” from the official voter rolls “the names of ineligible voters” who have died or changed residence. Among other things, the law requires registrations to be cancelled when voters fail to respond to address confirmation notices and then fail to vote in the next two general federal elections. In 2018, the Supreme Court confirmed that such removals are mandatory (Husted v. A. Philip Randolph Inst. (138 S. Ct. 1833, 1841-42 (2018)).

The Judicial Watch lawsuit details that New York City’s “own recent data concedes that there were only 22 total” removals under this provision “during a six-year period, in a city of over 5.5 million voters. These are ludicrously small numbers of removals given the sizable populations of these counties.” The lawsuit elaborates:

For context, the estimated number of voting-age citizens changing residence, per year, during the five-year period from 2016 through 2020, in the five counties of New York City was:

about 194,000 in Kings County,

about 127,000 in Queens County,

about 190,000 in New York County,

about 82,000 in Bronx County, and

about 21,000 in Richmond County.

In all, “more than 600,000 voting-age citizens, per year, are estimated to have changed residence in New York City during the five-year period from 2016 through 2020.”

Judicial Watch notes that “Yates County, one of the smallest counties in New York, with a current total registration of about 14,500 voters” made 1,251 removals under this NVRA provision during the same six-year period. “This is, literally, an exponentially greater number than the 22 NVRA Removals made during the same period in all of New York City.”

The lawsuit concludes that the “almost complete failure of Kings, Queens, New York, Bronx, and Richmond Counties, over a period of at least six years, to remove voters” under a key provision of federal law “means that there are untold numbers of New York City registrations for voters who are ineligible to vote at their listed address because they have changed residence or are otherwise ineligible to vote.”

The NVRA requires states to “conduct a general program that makes a reasonable effort to remove” from the official voter rolls “the names of ineligible voters” who have died or changed residence. Among other things, the law requires registrations to be cancelled when voters fail to respond to address confirmation notices and then fail to vote in the next two general federal elections. In 2018, the Supreme Court confirmed that such removals are mandatory (Husted v. A. Philip Randolph Inst. (138 S. Ct. 1833, 1841-42 (2018)).

“Dirty voting rolls can mean dirty elections, and New York City’s rolls are some of the dirtiest in the country,” stated Judicial Watch President Tom Fitton. “Elections officials in New York City have simply refused to clean the voter lists for years. We want cleaner elections, as the law requires, and we expect this lawsuit will cause New York to take the simple steps necessary to clean from its rolls the names of hundreds of thousands of voters who have moved away or died.”

Judicial Watch is a national leader in voting integrity and voting rights. As part of this effort, Judicial Watch assembled a team of highly experienced voting rights attorneys who stopped discriminatory elections in Hawaii, and cleaned up voter rolls in California, Ohio, Indiana, and Kentucky, among other achievements.

California settled an NVRA lawsuit with Judicial Watch and began the process of removing up to 1.6 million inactive names from Los Angeles County’s voter rolls. Kentucky also began a cleanup of hundreds of thousands of old registrations last year after it entered into a consent decree to end another Judicial Watch lawsuit.

In February 2022, Judicial Watch settled a voter roll clean-up lawsuit against North Carolina and two of its counties after the North Carolina removed over 430,000 ineligible names from the voter rolls.

In March 2022, a Maryland court ruled in favor of Judicial Watch’s challenge to Maryland’s Democratic legislature “extreme” congressional redistricting gerrymander.

In May 2022, Judicial Watch sued Illinois on behalf of Congressman Mike Bost and two other registered Illinois voters to prevent state election officials from extending Election Day for 14 days beyond the date established by federal law.


Ethan Leonard, Esq. and Neal Brickman, Esq. of The Law Offices of Neal Brickman, P.C. in New York City are assisting Judicial Watch in this lawsuit.

Sunday, July 10, 2022

Why Reagan Matters

 


Why Reagan Matters

Henry R. Nau, National Review 

Reagan’s conservatism unites Republicans and still has lessons to offer us today.

Republicans are counting on big gains in congressional elections this fall and in the presidential election in 2024. The headwinds are in their favor — high and rising inflation, slowing growth and possible recession, crushing debt, and a public increasingly unhappy with the leftist turn of Democratic leadership. But conservatives are also badly divided, especially over former president Trump. And in their internal squabbles, they ignore powerful tailwinds that have put the Republican Party in the favorable position it occupies today. Those tailwinds are, in good part, the legacy of Ronald Reagan.

Reagan revitalized American conservatism in three ways. First, he united the liberal and traditional wings of the Republican Party and made it competitive again in national politics. For the 48 years before 1981, Republicans controlled the Congress for only four years each in the House and the Senate and for only 16 years in the White House. In the 42 years after 1981, they have controlled the Senate for 22 years (Democrats 20), the House for 20 years (Democrats 22), and the White House for 24 years (Democrats 20). Republicans complain that this political change did not win the culture war, but they overlook the fact that, without this political shift — which put in place a conservative Supreme Court, multiple conservative think tanks, and Fox and other conservative broadcasting networks — they would not be on the verge today of significantly influencing that culture war, a feat unthinkable 40 years ago.

Second, Reagan formulated a limited-government, supply-side version of economic policy that put economic decisions in the hands of millions of citizens rather than central-government bureaucrats and congressional special interests. Individuals receiving tax cuts allocated resources and stimulated the economy. Their choices ignited three decades of market-led economic growth and equality at home and abroad. Until Reagan, tax increases and government spending — Keynesianism — were the only alternative. Today, conservatives offer a choice.

Third, Reagan’s policies ended the Cold War and oversaw the unparalleled spread of democracy and peace. His foreign policy was conservative not liberal. It called for a world of strong nation-states not universal global institutions, independent national defenses not collective security, competitive markets not expert-driven globalization, defense of freedom where it exists not everywhere, more equal-burden sharing by allies not free-riding, and negotiations to encourage peaceful democratic reforms not morally equivalent coexistence. He called the Soviet Union an “evil empire” and challenged it to an arms race outside negotiations until it reformed domestically and accepted freedom-favoring compromises inside negotiations.

Each of these legacies matters today. The Republican Party cannot win in 2022 or 2024 if it does not have an enthusiastic base (Mitt Romney?) or tries to win with only its base (Donald Trump?). Skyrocketing inflation, stalling growth, and soaring debt will not be reversed unless government spending, regulations, and monetary excess are reined in. And new challenges posed by authoritarian governments in Russia, China, North Korea, and Iran will not be met unless America and its allies share burdens more evenly and arm their diplomacy to defend the democratic gains of the past 75 years.

Individual Freedom of Choice

Reagan’s conservative worldview started with individual freedom of choice. As Lee Edwards records in The Essential Ronald Reagan (2005), Reagan told an interviewer already in 1947: “Our highest aim should be the cultivation of freedom of the individual, for therein lies the highest dignity of man.” At William Woods College in 1952 (quoted in Reagan’s Secret War, by Martin and Annelise Anderson, 2009) he elaborated: “America is less of a place than an idea, . . . the idea of the dignity of man, the idea that deep within the heart of each one of us is something so God-like and precious that no individual or group has a right to impose his or its will upon the people.” As he entered public life in 1965, he reiterated: “I think basically that I stand for what the bulk of Americans stand for — dignity, freedom of the individual, the right to determine your own destiny” (quoted in God and Ronald Reagan, by Paul Kengor, 2004).

And, as he left public life in 1988–89, he told Moscow students: “Freedom is the recognition that no single person, no single authority or government has a monopoly on the truth, but that every individual life is infinitely precious, that every one of us put on this world has been put there for a reason and has something to offer.”

In 1977, Reagan put it bluntly: “Our party must be the party of the individual. It must not sell out the individual to cater to the group.”

Why start with such abstract rhetoric? Because it defines the ageless battle between conservatism and liberalism and, within conservatism, between libertarianism and tradition. As Reagan’s comment suggests, conservatives generally identify freedom of choice at the individual level. Liberals locate it at the level of the group (class, race, villages, etc.). Within conservatism, libertarians pursue maximum individual autonomy consistent with the freedom of other individuals. Devout traditionalists pursue a higher good drawn from the ancient wisdom of the divine.

But individualism for all conservatives, and especially for Reagan, never meant lack of community or the “common good.” It meant simply that individuals, with a significant degree of freedom, choose the communities they wish to join or leave, and choose the common good they wish to pursue. Self-governing, making choices for one’s self, not governing others or making choices for others, lies at the heart of American conservatism.

Nevertheless, individuals are not islands. They make choices within, but not dictated by, communities.

Two such communities are vital — communities of education and learning and communities of tradition and faith. Through education and learning, individuals escape the procrustean beds of race, class, and sometimes even family or religion. And through faith and tradition, they hold the “human good” to a “higher good.”

Reagan combined these rationalist and religious sentiments. At the bicentennial celebration of Georgetown University in October 1988, he explained how individual freedom, learning, and faith reinforced one another: “At its full flowering, freedom is the first principle of society. . . . And yet freedom cannot exist alone. And that’s why the theme for your bicentennial is so very apt: learning, faith, and freedom.” “Learning [reason] is a good thing, but unless it’s tempered by faith and a love of freedom it can be very dangerous indeed . . . [and] also bring evil.” And “what will faith without a respect for learning and an understanding of freedom bring? We’ve seen the tragedy of untampered faith in the hellish deaths of 14-year-old boys — small hands still wrapped around machineguns, on the front lines in Iran.”

Reagan’s conservatism unites Republicans — the libertarian emphasis on individual choice and competition, the populist emphasis on faith and patriotism, and the traditionalist emphasis on knowledge and virtue.

Individual Not Government Spending

For Reagan, economic policy was about individual freedom as much as it was about collective prosperity. He told his radio audience in 1976: “Our system freed the individual genius of man . . . to fly as high and as far as his own talents and energies would take him. We allocate resources not by government decision but by the millions of decisions customers make when they go into the marketplace to buy. If something seems too high-priced, we buy something else. Thus resources are steered toward those things the people want most at the price they are willing to pay.” “It may not be a perfect system,” he conceded, “but it’s better than any other that’s ever been tried” (see Reagan in His Own Hand, 2001).

Thus, in fashioning economic policy, Reagan favored tax cuts over spending increases. Tax cuts empowered millions of citizens to decide what to buy, not a handful of government bureaucrats and special-interest groups. Economists debate the stimulative effects of tax cuts vs. spending increases, but the key difference for Reagan was who made the choice to spend.

Reagan’s economic program deftly integrated the tax cuts of supply-siders, the currency discipline of monetarists, and the bookkeeping mindset of budget balancers. He didn’t get all three at once or without a biting recession. But with the peace dividend that followed the end of the Cold War, the last element, a budget surplus for several years, fell into place. From 1980 to 2010, the U.S. and world economies grew at more than 3 percent per year. Developing countries (e.g., China) grew two and three times faster than advanced countries, dramatically reducing global inequality. Moreover, inequality declined in the U.S. as well. By 2007, fewer people in the United States lived in households with incomes between $30,000 and $100,000 per year, not because their incomes fell below $30,000 per year — that percentage stayed the same — but because their incomes rose above $100,000 per year. That percentage doubled from 12 percent to 24 percent (see Stephen J. Rose, Rebound, 2010).

Liberal economists seldom mention this legacy. They focus on the top 1 percent of earners, the financial class that exploited the opening of capital markets. Take out that 1 percent, and inequality is not the major story of the Reagan years. But there is a lesson here for conservatives. By ignoring these legacy debates, conservatives concede the field to liberals; and the Millennial and Gen Z generations grow up believing that the Reagan years were little more than “an era of greed and inequality.”

Freedom in the World

Peace through Strength became the moniker of Reagan’s foreign-policy legacy. But it was more than that. It was Peace with Individual Freedom through Strength. Reagan did not seek peace through coexistence with the evil empire. He sought an outcome that favored freedom: “We win; they lose.”

Reagan told an audience in May 1985: “Don’t let anyone tell you that we’re morally equivalent to the Soviet Union. We are morally superior, not equivalent, to any totalitarian regime, and we should be damn proud of it.” Why? Because America was the first nation to establish a republic giving ordinary, individual human beings the freedom to govern themselves. It was a “city upon a hill,” and “the eyes of all people are upon us,” not because America was looking down on everyone, but because everyone was looking up to America to see whether this country, the first republic to liberalize without a monarch, aristocracy, or state church, would succeed. And, “if we lose freedom here,” Reagan added, “there is no place to escape to. This is the last stand on earth.” Reagan was a nationalist because America was the first and potentially last home of individual freedom in the world.

This is Reagan’s most important foreign-policy legacy. America has a purpose in the world, and that purpose is to make sure “republicanism” survives, not to impose it but to make it successful and available if other countries want it.

Once in the 19th century (the Civil War) and three times in the 20th century (World Wars I and II and the Cold War), the republican standard came under siege. Each time, America not only preserved its own republic but rescued others. What does the 21st century hold?

From Reagan’s perspective, the outlook is actually quite sanguine, even in the face of Russia’s brutal aggression in Ukraine and of the Chinese stealth takeover of Hong Kong. After the Cold War, over 60 countries became more free, and most remain so. As freedom spread, violence declined.

This “democratic peace,” though imperfect, speaks to an unmistakable reality in today’s world. Imagine the war in Ukraine, or potentially a war in Taiwan, if Europe was still a hotbed of nationalism and anarchism or if Japan stalked Asia as an imperialist power. Even if democracy has stalled in recent years, America is much safer because freedom exists much more widely.

America needs to build on that progress, not take it for granted or expand it aggressively. Reagan’s legacy suggests two steps: Stick with the European and Asian democracies but insist they do more, and create with allies a division of labor that deters conflicts simultaneously in both Europe and Asia.

America’s natural home is with other free countries. That’s the sense in which Reagan supported free trade. Many conservatives today are unhappy with this legacy. And they have a point — up to a point.

Free trade was spectacularly successful among free nations during the Cold War. Without the combined strength of the United States, Japan, and a free Western Europe, the Cold War would have never been won. On the other hand, free trade with other free nations no longer requires sweetheart deals from the United States to bolster strategic aims. Reciprocity not grand strategy is the byword of future free-trade negotiations. The United States gets exactly the same treatment in the markets of democratic allies as those allies get in the U.S. market. President Trump showed the way by renegotiating earlier trade agreements with Canada, Mexico, South Korea, Japan, and the European Union. Adjusted in this way, free trade among free countries widens freedom of individual choice and is thereby an integral part of the larger battle against tyranny.

But free trade with adversaries has failed. It was premised on the liberal idea that economic liberalization would promote political liberalization. During the Cold War, that may have been the hope of those who favored détente, but it was never Reagan’s. His objective was always to weaken the Soviet economy, let it bear the full costs of its inefficient system, and initiate freer trade only after the Soviet Union had undertaken significant domestic political reforms.

Reagan’s approach applies to Russia and China today. Free countries should tighten controls sharply on security-related trade, jawbone Western firms to scale back dependence on these countries for commodities, supply chains, and markets, and gradually reduce borrowing, especially from China. Decoupling is inevitable and already happening. The era of expanding globalization is over.

In defense matters, the priorities are Ukraine and the East and South China Seas. In both regions, America has to do less and the allies more.

The U.S. share of the free world’s resources (among OECD countries) is roughly one third; other free countries control two-thirds. Thus, a perfectly reasonable, indeed generous, metric of burden sharing between the United States and its allies over the next several decades might be 50–50. Today, in both Europe and Asia, the United States still accounts for roughly 70 percent of defense expenses. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has rallied NATO defense spending, including by longtime laggards such as Germany. But the allies have to establish permanent metrics and mechanisms to monitor and sustain this burden-sharing persistently.

Second, the allies have to set priorities, not by region — that is, putting Asia first or Europe first — but by a division of labor between the United States and its free-world allies. European nations take the lead in NATO, with America and Asian democracies backing up; America takes the lead in Asia with European and Asian democracies backing up (a good example being the U.S. –U.K.–Australian agreement, in September 2021, to deploy nuclear-powered submarines in the Pacific). Threats of terrorism and nuclear proliferation remain in other regions, such as the Middle East, but the success or failure of freedom there is not as consequential.

Restraint is in order, but it applies to adversaries as well. And so far, Russia and China have shown no signs of restraint. They benefited most from the global expansion of freedom and markets. Yet, they now trash the “U.S.-led world order.” We should not join them. Play the long game. Meet their challenge and win on the principles of Reagan’s legacy. Unite Republicans around the conservative triad of individual freedom, learning, and faith. Pursue domestic economic policies that expand individual choice. Trade with free nations only and then only on grounds of reciprocity and more-balanced burden-sharing. Prioritize defense responsibilities to defend the “new Berlins” of both Kyiv and Taipei. And find a place in the system that adversaries can eventually accept. On these terms, America’s engagement in the world is not only morally sound but materially sustainable.

Monday, July 04, 2022

America the Awesome

 


America the Awesome

The Editors, National Review

For all the pomp and circumstance of its presentation, there is something admirably humble about America’s national anthem. Britain’s anthem is cartoonish, with its repeated entreaties to “save” an already-well-secured monarch and its insistence that God is destined to “scatter” the “knavish” enemies of the crown. France’s anthem is utopian, with all those references to the “child of the fatherland,” the “day of glory,” and the prospect of “impure blood” watering the fields. But America’s? America’s has about it that quality of the unknown. From the outset, it poses questions. “O say, can you see?” it inquires. “O say does that star-spangled banner yet wave / O’er the land of the free and the home of the brave?” Eventually — when the “rocket’s red glare” gives “proof through the night that our flag was still there” — the answer is “Yes,” and yet, implicit in the inquiry is the notion that if things had gone a little differently, the flag and all that it represents might well have ended up in tatters.

And well they might. Today, we celebrate July 4 in the knowledge that the nation it birthed has been a smashing success. When they began their journey toward independence, though, the Founders enjoyed no such guarantees. Benjamin Franklin’s quip that his comrades must “all hang together, or most assuredly we shall all hang separately” was meant literally: As Lincoln would later observe, Thomas Jefferson’s document did, indeed, contain “an abstract truth, applicable to all men and all times,” and “a rebuke and a stumbling-block to the very harbingers of re-appearing tyranny and oppression,” but it was also treason — and the penalty for treason was death. Then, as so often afterwards, “does that star-spangled banner yet wave?” was an open question, for it was not guaranteed that the new nation would survive its push for independence, or that it would survive its first properly contested election, or that it would survive the War of 1812. The Civil War could well have ended the United States, as could have the Great Depression, World War II, and the rise of global communism. Eschewing principle, the colonists could have succumbed to the Declaratory Act. Rejecting Cincinnatus’s example, George Washington could have chosen to stay in office. Ignoring Matthew 12:25, Abraham Lincoln could have forsaken Fort Sumter. We are here because they all took a different course.

They — we — still are. Two hundred forty-six years later, the Declaration of Independence is still celebrated; 233 years on, the Constitution is still in force. There are more stars on the flag than there once were, but, 245 years after its debut, it still waves across the land. Under its carapace, the United States has grown into the freest, most innovative, and most prosperous nation that the world has ever seen. America dominates the world’s culture, remains the most popular destination for immigrants, and enjoys unmatched military superiority. As ever, we have our problems — as must any place that is governed by men. But, thanks to our foundational laws and the traditions to which we have fallen heir, we possess the means, the ingenuity, and the fortitude to solve them. If asked before birth where on the globe he hoped to end up, only a fool would look outside of America.

Alas, the last few years have brought with them a surfeit of self-flagellation that the more grounded among the citizenry would do well to resist. It is not incumbent upon a free people to ignore the ugly parts of their history, to pretend that what is destructive is virtuous, or to indulge in unthinking, Panglossian optimism about the country in which they live. But there is criticism and then there is nihilism, and the most prominent of America’s revisionists have often veered dangerously toward the latter course. Speaking on July 4, 1926, Calvin Coolidge observed that while those who cast America’s founding ideals as a brittle ruse were typically “sincere,” that did not mean that they were “well informed.” In fact, Coolidge concluded, when properly examined, “very little of just criticism can attach to the theories and principles of our institutions.”

Coolidge was correct. The United States is unique among the world’s nations in that its architects established a set of timeless values by which the country’s character might be judged and its deficiencies might be remedied. Over time, those values have served as the basis of every great renewal. They underpinned Frederick Douglass’s hope that he, too, would one day enjoy “the rich inheritance of justice, liberty, prosperity and independence, bequeathed by your fathers”; they informed Abraham Lincoln’s reflection that he had “never had a feeling politically that did not spring from the sentiments embodied in the Declaration of Independence”; they inspired Susan B. Anthony to remark that, though women suffered “the degradation of disfranchisement,” her faith remained “firm and unwavering in the broad principles of human rights proclaimed in 1776”; they underwrote Martin Luther King Jr.’s famous “promissory note, to which every American was to fall heir”; they are invoked today in the fight to protect the unborn.

Today, we echo John Adams’s profound enthusiasm for the “great anniversary” of America’s extraordinary founding, and we hope that as it is once again “solemnized with Pomp and Parade,” the “Guns, Bells, Bonfires and Illuminations” will give off new proof, through this night, and through many more nights to come, that whatever the tribulations of the moment may be, our flag is still there.


THE EDITORS comprise the senior editorial staff of the National Review magazine and website.